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Red64
97714.3
511516.5
82309.5
Blue87
159925.5
53928.7
189518.6
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3678020601001201406487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#43
16.50.7
16.717.4
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 12.2
539
#15
28.71.1
23.925.0
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
Second
977
#46
14.30.7
13.113.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
blue by 11.3
1599
#33
25.51.1
20.221.3
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End3.6
Third
8230
#53
9.50.7
8.18.9
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
blue by 9.2
1895
#48
18.61.1
21.622.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed58%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsEarned