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Red103
970918.5
162932.1
580436.0
Blue97
44939.7
454117.2
34629.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9110340608012014016018010397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.01.3
31.132.4
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
blue by 3.6
449
#24
39.70.3
37.036.7
Auto16.5
Teleop21.2
End2.0
Second
1629
#14
32.11.3
33.835.1
Auto13.5
Teleop16.6
End2.0
red by 2.4
346
#11
29.70.3
33.933.6
Auto11.1
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Third
9709
#21
18.51.3
18.720.0
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
red by 1.2
4541
#47
17.20.3
21.120.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned