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Red99
83635.7
907231.4
62027.5
Blue76
533830.7
337324.4
42228.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9384501509976

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
35.70.0
28.228.2
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
red by 4.9
30.70.1
28.828.7
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
Second
9072
#26
31.40.0
32.332.3
Auto12.9
Teleop18.2
End0.4
red by 2.6
422
#30
28.80.1
27.927.8
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
Third
620
#5
27.50.0
22.923.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.7
End2.0
red by 3.1
3373
#12
24.40.1
20.420.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned79%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed