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Red60
68627.8
161016.7
242115.9
Blue66
970918.5
409928.8
12228.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67792040601001201406066

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#18
27.80.1
28.027.9
Auto11.6
Teleop14.2
End2.0
blue by 1.0
28.80.6
24.023.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
1610
#51
16.70.1
17.217.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.4
blue by 11.8
122
#23
28.50.6
26.025.4
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Third
2421
#34
15.90.1
16.716.6
Auto7.6
Teleop5.3
End3.0
blue by 2.6
9709
#21
18.50.6
20.019.4
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsEarned66%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned18%Ensemble oddsMissed