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Red50
900317.1
11118.7
97714.3
Blue75
554914.6
83635.7
237720.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3980020601001201401605075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9003
#40
17.10.7
17.618.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.4
blue by 18.6
836
#1
35.70.5
32.032.5
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Second
977
#46
14.30.7
15.115.8
Auto7.1
Teleop7.6
End-0.5
blue by 6.6
2377
#28
20.90.5
17.217.8
Auto7.0
Teleop9.2
End4.7
Third
1111
#44
8.70.7
7.17.8
Auto4.5
Teleop3.6
End0.6
blue by 5.9
5549
#42
14.60.5
17.918.4
Auto4.8
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
22%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned