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Red69
337324.4
171910.8
53928.7
Blue45
82309.5
900317.1
12228.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64582040801001206945

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
539
#15
28.70.8
26.927.7
Auto10.8
Teleop15.5
End2.4
red by 0.2
122
#23
28.50.5
26.025.5
Auto11.7
Teleop14.8
End2.0
Second
3373
#12
24.40.8
21.622.4
Auto10.1
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 7.3
9003
#40
17.10.5
17.116.6
Auto5.1
Teleop8.6
End3.4
Third
1719
#50
10.80.8
8.69.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.1
End2.6
red by 1.3
8230
#53
9.50.5
10.19.5
Auto3.9
Teleop5.1
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed