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Red58
558722.9
313630.9
161016.7
Blue88
219918.5
83635.7
832619.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions717840601001205888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#31
30.90.5
29.128.6
Auto9.1
Teleop19.2
End2.7
blue by 4.7
836
#1
35.70.9
33.834.7
Auto12.1
Teleop18.0
End5.6
Second
5587
#10
22.90.5
20.219.7
Auto7.0
Teleop13.0
End2.9
red by 3.8
8326
#36
19.10.9
18.519.4
Auto7.8
Teleop8.8
End2.5
Third
1610
#51
16.70.5
16.215.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.6
End3.4
blue by 1.8
2199
#35
18.50.9
17.318.2
Auto7.0
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
69%Melody oddsMissed69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned