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Red97
159925.5
62320.3
42228.8
Blue103
210629.1
580436.0
173144.4
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691325010015097103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#30
28.81.1
29.931.0
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End1.5
blue by 15.6
44.40.6
44.243.7
Auto17.9
Teleop20.7
End5.8
Second
1599
#33
25.51.1
22.223.4
Auto5.6
Teleop16.3
End3.6
blue by 10.5
36.00.6
36.035.4
Auto10.6
Teleop22.4
End3.1
Third
623
#8
20.31.1
17.818.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.3
End2.3
blue by 8.8
2106
#16
29.10.6
31.631.0
Auto9.2
Teleop18.2
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned99%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
42%Ensemble oddsEarned38%Ensemble oddsEarned