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Red60
533830.7
206812.9
970918.5
Blue105
88824.5
409928.8
236323.6
17%Model gave it83%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66902040608010012014060105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.70.3
29.929.6
Auto10.4
Teleop16.9
End3.4
red by 1.9
28.81.4
27.829.2
Auto9.4
Teleop17.4
End2.0
Second
9709
#21
18.50.3
19.719.4
Auto9.9
Teleop6.2
End2.3
blue by 6.0
888
#17
24.51.4
22.323.7
Auto9.3
Teleop13.5
End1.7
Third
2068
#52
12.90.3
13.212.8
Auto5.0
Teleop6.6
End1.3
blue by 10.6
23.61.4
28.429.8
Auto5.8
Teleop11.5
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsMissed95%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed58%Ensemble oddsEarned