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Red120
29425.6
132356.4
25451.1
Blue123
169053.7
452242.2
32117.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153122050100200250120123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1323
Unranked
56.40.7
57.156.4
Auto19.7
Teleop29.1
End7.6
red by 2.7
1690
Unranked
53.70.2
53.953.7
Auto17.0
Teleop31.4
End5.4
Second
254
Unranked
51.10.7
51.851.1
Auto15.5
Teleop29.3
End6.3
red by 8.9
4522
Unranked
42.20.2
42.542.2
Auto13.2
Teleop24.7
End4.4
Third
294
Unranked
25.60.7
26.225.6
Auto10.0
Teleop14.5
End1.1
red by 8.0
321
Unranked
17.50.2
17.817.5
Auto8.0
Teleop9.1
End0.4