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Red54
748511.5
224026.9
549312.2
Blue43
33749.8
133921.2
1598.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51402060805443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#10
26.90.6
24.725.4
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 5.7
1339
#33
21.20.8
22.621.9
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
Second
5493
#26
12.21.1
10.011.1
Auto5.2
Teleop6.8
End0.2
red by 2.4
3374
#44
9.80.8
7.36.5
Auto4.9
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Third
7485
#32
11.51.1
9.810.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.5
red by 3.1
159
#42
8.40.8
7.97.1
Auto4.2
Teleop3.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsEarned20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned