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Qual 142024 Colorado Regional
Red45
208318.3
320017.9
13038.0
Blue42
380712.5
197715.7
569024.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345602040801004542

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#24
18.31.3
10.4→11.7
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 6.3
5690
#22
24.60.5
23.7→23.3
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
3200
#17
17.90.8
14.2→15.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.9
End0.8
red by 2.2
1977
#21
15.70.6
14.2→13.6
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End2.3
Third
1303
#31
8.01.3
8.6→10.0
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End0.3
blue by 4.5
3807
#47
12.50.6
9.7→9.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed