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Red60
400923.3
208318.3
22597.6
Blue60
455022.3
113816.3
22616.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474120305060706060

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4009
#13
23.3
Auto10.5
Teleop10.1
End2.8
red by 1.0
4550
#14
22.3
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Second
2083
#24
18.3
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.7
red by 2.0
1138
#34
16.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End0.7
Third
2259
#40DQ
7.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.5
End1.1
red by 0.7
2261
#49
6.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed