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Red21
133921.2
406825.8
17997.0
Blue70
10116.7
294524.7
320017.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6539020801001202170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#16
25.82.3
24.522.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
red by 1.1
2945
#27
24.71.3
21.222.5
Auto9.0
Teleop14.4
End1.2
Second
1339
#33
21.22.3
21.719.4
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 3.3
3200
#17
17.91.3
13.414.7
Auto8.1
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Third
1799
#48
7.03.8
9.45.6
Auto2.6
Teleop3.7
End0.7
red by 0.3
1011
#41
6.72.2
3.75.9
Auto3.7
Teleop2.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
48%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed