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Red36
66212.9
197715.7
208318.3
Blue99
110824.9
449932.0
401011.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3863020801003699

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2083
#24
18.30.1
13.413.2
Auto6.2
Teleop10.5
End1.7
blue by 13.7
32.01.7
27.128.8
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End5.9
Second
1977
#21
15.70.1
12.312.2
Auto4.9
Teleop8.5
End2.3
blue by 9.2
1108
#19
24.92.8
13.716.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
Third
662
#46
12.90.1
11.511.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End1.6
red by 0.9
4010
#25
11.91.7
12.914.6
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed52%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsEarned