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Red64
494416.3
406825.8
380712.5
Blue55
141028.7
748511.5
833412.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5359304070806455

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4068
#16
25.80.7
22.523.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
blue by 2.9
28.70.2
27.227.3
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
Second
4944
#15
16.30.7
14.014.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End1.3
red by 4.0
8334
#39
12.30.3
13.413.7
Auto3.6
Teleop6.7
End2.0
Third
3807
#47
12.51.2
11.913.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.4
End1.4
red by 1.0
7485
#32
11.50.3
11.812.1
Auto4.2
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsMissed30%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed