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Red23
203616.2
401011.9
724310.9
Blue66
429320.5
569024.6
906814.8
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4660203040507080901002366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2036
#43
16.21.3
16.515.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 8.4
5690
#22
24.60.9
23.724.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
4010
#25
11.91.3
14.613.2
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 8.5
20.50.9
16.717.6
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
Third
7243
#29
10.92.2
12.19.9
Auto5.0
Teleop5.3
End0.6
blue by 3.8
9068
#18
14.81.5
12.313.8
Auto5.7
Teleop8.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed