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Red78
523227.0
438827.1
224026.9
Blue69
406825.8
958610.6
299625.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8156020401001201407869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.10.5
21.522.0
Auto8.9
Teleop17.1
End1.2
red by 1.4
4068
#16
25.81.0
23.324.3
Auto7.8
Teleop14.9
End3.0
Second
27.00.5
24.224.7
Auto7.4
Teleop16.5
End3.1
red by 1.6
2996
#23
25.41.0
23.124.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.5
End1.6
Third
2240
#10
26.90.5
24.725.2
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End2.2
red by 16.3
9586
#36
10.61.7
7.49.1
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed