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Red105
141028.7
523227.0
401011.9
Blue64
911213.2
459318.0
372931.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7168405060809010010564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.3
27.327.1
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
blue by 3.0
3729
#12
31.60.2
31.131.2
Auto13.3
Teleop16.7
End1.6
Second
27.00.3
24.724.5
Auto7.4
Teleop16.5
End3.1
red by 9.0
4593
#38
18.00.2
17.918.1
Auto8.2
Teleop7.5
End2.4
Third
4010
#25
11.90.3
12.011.7
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 1.2
9112
#37
13.20.3
12.712.9
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed