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Red95
300631.5
449932.0
141028.7
Blue71
400923.3
523227.0
320017.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775620401001209571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.02.3
24.827.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End5.9
red by 5.0
27.01.6
18.920.5
Auto7.4
Teleop16.5
End3.1
Second
31.51.6
20.321.9
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 8.2
4009
#13
23.31.6
21.222.8
Auto10.5
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
28.71.6
22.223.8
Auto12.4
Teleop13.6
End2.6
red by 10.8
3200
#17
17.91.3
12.914.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsEarned28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed