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Red41
401011.9
10116.7
429320.5
Blue95
523227.0
455022.3
182220.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367402060801001204195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.3
19.219.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6
blue by 6.6
27.02.1
24.526.5
Auto7.4
Teleop16.5
End3.1
Second
4010
#25
11.90.3
11.711.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.7
End1.1
blue by 10.3
4550
#14
22.32.1
19.721.7
Auto9.5
Teleop11.9
End0.9
Third
1011
#41
6.70.3
6.46.7
Auto3.7
Teleop2.4
End0.7
blue by 13.9
1822
#20
20.62.7
18.120.8
Auto5.9
Teleop12.7
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed