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Red45
22616.8
911213.2
569024.6
Blue56
133921.2
494416.3
186818.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4655203040607080901004556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#22
24.60.1
23.423.6
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
red by 3.4
1339
#33
21.20.5
17.618.1
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
Second
9112
#37
13.20.2
13.013.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.9
End0.7
blue by 5.1
18.30.5
16.216.7
Auto5.5
Teleop12.2
End0.5
Third
2261
#49
6.80.2
6.66.8
Auto2.9
Teleop3.1
End0.8
blue by 9.5
4944
#15
16.30.5
15.215.7
Auto6.3
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsMissed33%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed