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Red63
300631.5
133921.2
110824.9
Blue95
569024.6
429320.5
400923.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75722040601001201401606395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.50.1
28.428.3
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End2.3
red by 7.0
5690
#22
24.60.4
23.624.0
Auto8.3
Teleop14.2
End2.0
Second
1108
#19
24.90.1
21.020.9
Auto8.9
Teleop13.9
End2.1
red by 1.6
4009
#13
23.30.4
22.322.7
Auto10.5
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
1339
#33
21.20.1
18.118.0
Auto6.5
Teleop13.7
End1.0
red by 0.8
20.50.4
19.419.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.0
End0.6