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Red81
494415.8
133921.5
372927.8
Blue69
324526.6
593313.3
449932.4
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70852040601001201401608169

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.80.2
27.627.8
Auto12.5
Teleop13.6
End1.7
blue by 4.6
32.40.7
33.132.4
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
1339
#10
21.50.2
21.321.5
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
blue by 5.1
3245
#14
26.60.7
27.426.6
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Third
4944
#30
15.80.2
15.615.8
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 2.5
5933
#42
13.30.7
14.113.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7