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Red35
203618.8
406824.2
494415.8
Blue37
38076.5
999921.4
999813.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69320204060801001201403537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.5
25.123.5
Auto8.7
Teleop13.2
End2.2
red by 2.8
9999
#13
21.41.1
9.810.9
Auto5.6
Teleop13.7
End2.2
Second
2036
#23
18.81.5
15.413.8
Auto6.5
Teleop11.5
End0.7
red by 5.3
9998
#12
13.51.1
3.44.5
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End1.0
Third
4944
#30
15.81.5
17.816.3
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
red by 9.4
3807
#43
6.50.7
11.912.6
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
61%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed