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Red35
294514.6
99959.3
83349.4
Blue38
297219.3
455018.4
66211.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38620501001502003538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2945
#45
14.61.5
24.723.1
Auto6.8
Teleop7.3
End0.4
blue by 4.7
2972
#18
19.31.0
18.217.2
Auto7.9
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Second
8334
#38
9.41.9
12.310.4
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2
blue by 8.9
18.41.0
22.321.2
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Third
9995
#22
9.32.5
6.94.4
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
blue by 2.2
662
#37
11.51.0
12.911.9
Auto6.4
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsEarned20%Ensemble oddsMissed