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Red45
593313.3
141018.5
224019.0
Blue50
133921.5
320016.7
99959.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71310501001504550

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2240
#29
19.01.3
22.020.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.7
End1.0
blue by 2.5
1339
#10
21.50.9
17.318.2
Auto7.7
Teleop12.8
End1.0
Second
1410
#28
18.51.3
22.421.2
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 1.8
3200
#16
16.70.9
16.016.9
Auto7.7
Teleop8.3
End0.6
Third
5933
#42
13.31.3
14.613.4
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
red by 4.0
9995
#22
9.31.5
3.44.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed