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Red58
429322.6
141018.5
182220.5
Blue63
197713.5
494415.8
449932.4
57%Model gave it43%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67632040801005863

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.60.1
19.018.9
Auto7.7
Teleop14.0
End0.9
blue by 9.8
32.40.3
26.826.4
Auto13.9
Teleop15.0
End3.5
Second
20.50.1
21.020.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 4.7
4944
#30
15.80.3
17.016.7
Auto4.6
Teleop10.1
End1.1
Third
1410
#28
18.50.1
20.019.8
Auto9.2
Teleop7.5
End1.8
red by 5.1
1977
#20
13.50.3
14.013.7
Auto6.8
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned39%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed