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Red74
438828.1
38076.5
182220.5
Blue43
324526.6
17996.6
593313.3
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595002040801007443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.8
25.926.7
Auto12.1
Teleop14.4
End1.6
red by 1.4
3245
#14
26.60.2
26.426.2
Auto9.9
Teleop16.4
End0.3
Second
20.50.8
20.621.3
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 7.1
5933
#42
13.30.2
14.314.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
3807
#43
6.50.8
6.26.9
Auto4.1
Teleop1.2
End1.1
blue by 0.2
1799
#15
6.60.2
5.55.3
Auto2.5
Teleop3.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed