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Red43
99964.5
441815.8
182220.5
Blue39
99863.3
455018.4
83349.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions524102060801001204339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.1
20.720.6
Auto6.6
Teleop11.3
End2.5
red by 2.1
18.40.5
21.220.7
Auto7.5
Teleop9.8
End1.1
Second
4418
#21
15.80.1
18.518.4
Auto4.2
Teleop11.3
End0.4
red by 6.4
8334
#38
9.40.6
10.49.8
Auto3.6
Teleop4.6
End1.2
Third
9996
#36
4.50.2
5.45.2
Auto1.0
Teleop2.9
End0.8
red by 1.2
9986
#40
3.30.9
5.44.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop2.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned