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Red99
15523.8
346424.4
17642.1
Blue63
314622.1
346118.1
17736.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1029360801201409963

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#5
42.10.5
43.243.7
Auto15.1
Teleop25.1
End2.0
red by 5.6
177
#7
36.61.5
36.334.8
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
Second
3464
#12
24.40.5
25.826.4
Auto9.4
Teleop12.5
End2.4
red by 2.3
3146
#23
22.11.5
29.227.7
Auto9.8
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Third
155
#6
23.80.5
22.122.6
Auto8.5
Teleop14.1
End1.2
red by 5.7
3461
#18
18.11.5
19.818.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
90%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsMissed