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Red102
55830.8
740736.0
318224.2
Blue68
808526.8
174026.6
199113.3
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1087705015010268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#10
36.00.1
40.941.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
red by 9.1
8085
#15
26.80.3
30.129.8
Auto7.5
Teleop14.4
End5.0
Second
558
#8
30.80.1
29.829.9
Auto7.5
Teleop20.0
End3.2
red by 4.1
26.60.3
28.327.9
Auto11.7
Teleop11.7
End3.2
Third
24.20.1
23.423.5
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
red by 10.9
1991
#20
13.30.3
14.814.5
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned80%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
56%Ensemble oddsEarned78%Ensemble oddsEarned