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Red76
22817.3
199113.3
740736.0
Blue72
107113.8
318224.2
808526.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85722040601001201407672

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7407
#10
36.00.1
41.040.9
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
red by 9.1
8085
#15
26.80.1
30.030.1
Auto7.5
Teleop14.4
End5.0
Second
228
#11
17.30.1
19.319.2
Auto7.7
Teleop9.9
End-0.2
blue by 6.9
24.20.1
23.323.4
Auto9.9
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Third
1991
#20
13.30.1
14.914.8
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 0.5
1071
#14
13.80.1
13.213.3
Auto6.6
Teleop5.8
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
44%Ensemble oddsMissed37%Ensemble oddsEarned