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Red95
109919.8
17736.6
23021.5
Blue70
740736.0
314622.1
17318.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90856070801001109570

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#7
36.60.1
37.437.5
Auto12.1
Teleop22.0
End2.4
red by 0.6
7407
#10
36.00.3
36.336.0
Auto13.2
Teleop18.5
End4.3
Second
230
#17
21.50.1
22.422.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.0
End4.3
blue by 0.5
3146
#23
22.10.3
22.422.1
Auto9.8
Teleop9.5
End2.8
Third
1099
#13
19.80.1
20.720.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.2
End2.1
red by 1.5
173
#24
18.30.3
18.718.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End1.8