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Red62
17520.7
51129.1
17723.3
Blue40
808522.4
19919.2
331420.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58593040507080906240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
23.30.2
23.123.3
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
red by 0.9
22.40.4
22.822.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
175
#5
20.70.2
20.520.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Level
20.70.4
21.120.7
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
5112
#32
9.10.2
8.89.1
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 0.1
1991
#17
9.20.4
9.69.2
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8