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Red37
21706.6
712715.0
769413.5
Blue53
318218.3
22815.5
23620.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343901020506070803753

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#19
15.00.7
9.810.4
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 5.8
236
#7
20.72.0
11.413.5
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Second
7694
#22
13.50.7
11.111.7
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 4.7
3182
#11
18.32.0
11.313.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End2.0
Third
2170
#30
6.60.7
10.110.8
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 8.9
228
#24
15.52.0
11.913.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned