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Red49
808522.4
19919.2
314614.9
Blue29
78699.4
634617.3
107114.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413310203050604929

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.7
16.717.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 5.1
6346
#15
17.30.2
12.212.0
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
Second
3146
#16
14.90.7
10.511.2
Auto7.8
Teleop5.5
End1.6
red by 0.1
1071
#23
14.80.2
11.010.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Third
1991
#17
9.20.7
8.99.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 0.2
7869
#26
9.40.2
7.67.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed