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Red30
346415.9
808522.4
21706.6
Blue44
169924.8
51129.1
17520.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44400102030506070803044

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.6
17.415.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
blue by 2.4
24.80.9
13.314.2
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
3464
#12
15.91.6
11.39.7
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 4.8
175
#5
20.70.9
12.913.7
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
Third
2170
#30
6.61.6
10.89.2
Auto3.8
Teleop2.7
End0.1
blue by 2.4
5112
#32
9.10.9
10.111.0
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed