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Red47
22815.5
107114.8
17723.3
Blue50
176827.0
919312.5
23620.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50421020306070804750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
23.30.4
19.119.4
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
blue by 3.8
27.01.3
15.116.4
Auto10.4
Teleop15.9
End0.8
Second
228
#24
15.50.3
13.914.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 5.2
236
#7
20.71.3
13.514.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Third
1071
#23
14.80.4
10.811.2
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
red by 2.3
9193
#14
12.51.3
10.011.3
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed