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Red22
20646.6
77604.8
634617.3
Blue10
17314.9
974.9
107114.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412801020506070802210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6346
#15
17.31.5
13.712.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
red by 2.4
173
#21
14.91.8
10.99.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.3
Second
2064
#29
6.61.5
12.010.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
blue by 8.2
1071
#23
14.81.8
11.29.3
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6
Third
7760
#27
4.81.5
9.58.0
Auto1.2
Teleop1.7
End1.9
blue by 0.1
97
#28
4.91.8
4.52.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed