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Red43
22815.5
712715.0
17314.9
Blue60
808522.4
801322.2
574610.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4457203040507080904360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#24
15.50.1
14.514.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 6.9
22.40.9
21.622.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
7127
#19
15.00.1
12.112.2
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 7.2
22.20.9
20.120.9
Auto5.4
Teleop12.8
End4.0
Third
173
#21
14.90.1
15.215.3
Auto5.5
Teleop7.1
End2.3
red by 4.9
5746
#25
10.00.9
8.79.5
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned