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Red44
51129.1
22815.5
36344.7
Blue45
20646.6
17723.3
574610.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions284201020506070804445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228
#24
15.50.2
15.115.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 7.8
177
#10
23.30.7
20.921.6
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
Second
5112
#32
9.10.2
7.27.4
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 0.9
5746
#25
10.00.7
9.310.0
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Third
3634
#33
4.70.2
4.54.7
Auto3.9
Teleop0.9
End-0.2
blue by 1.9
2064
#29
6.60.7
5.96.6
Auto1.5
Teleop4.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed