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Red37
712715.0
574610.0
457213.1
Blue55
919312.5
169924.8
78699.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2932010204050603755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7127
#19
15.00.7
9.09.8
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
blue by 9.9
24.80.2
13.213.3
Auto11.0
Teleop11.8
End2.1
Second
4572
#20
13.10.7
8.59.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.0
red by 0.6
9193
#14
12.50.2
7.88.0
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
Third
5746
#25
10.00.7
9.19.8
Auto2.6
Teleop4.9
End2.5
red by 0.6
7869
#26
9.40.2
7.47.6
Auto3.3
Teleop4.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed