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Red79
331420.7
19919.2
808522.4
Blue67
107114.8
23620.7
174019.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions556202040801001201401607967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.4
21.922.2
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
red by 1.6
236
#7
20.70.2
20.620.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Second
20.70.4
20.220.5
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
red by 0.9
19.80.2
19.619.8
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
1991
#17
9.20.4
8.69.0
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8
blue by 5.6
1071
#23
14.80.2
14.714.8
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6