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Red47
22815.5
346415.9
712715.0
Blue85
808522.4
19919.2
331420.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions506002040801001201404785

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#12
15.90.1
16.015.9
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 6.4
22.40.3
22.622.8
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
228
#24
15.50.1
15.615.5
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 5.2
20.70.3
20.921.1
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
7127
#19
15.00.1
15.115.0
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
red by 5.8
1991
#17
9.20.3
9.49.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8