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Red81
17520.7
51129.1
17723.3
Blue57
174019.8
23620.7
107114.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52622040801001208157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#10
23.30.5
21.622.1
Auto11.8
Teleop10.5
End1.0
red by 2.5
236
#7
20.70.2
20.720.5
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Second
175
#5
20.70.5
19.019.5
Auto10.0
Teleop10.4
End0.4
red by 0.9
19.80.2
19.719.6
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
5112
#32
9.10.5
7.47.8
Auto4.4
Teleop3.4
End1.2
blue by 5.7
1071
#23
14.80.2
14.714.6
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6