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Red52
769413.5
919312.5
634617.3
Blue64
107114.8
23620.7
174019.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4563020801001205264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6346
#15
17.30.2
17.017.3
Auto5.6
Teleop10.2
End1.5
blue by 3.5
236
#7
20.70.1
20.520.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.5
End5.4
Second
7694
#22
13.50.2
13.313.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 6.3
19.80.1
19.619.6
Auto8.1
Teleop9.7
End2.0
Third
9193
#14
12.50.2
12.312.5
Auto6.3
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 2.3
1071
#23
14.80.1
14.614.7
Auto4.0
Teleop8.2
End2.6