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Red58
346415.9
22815.5
712715.0
Blue23
808522.4
19919.2
331420.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50602040801001205823

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3464
#12
15.90.1
16.016.1
Auto4.3
Teleop9.7
End2.0
blue by 6.4
22.40.8
22.621.9
Auto6.7
Teleop13.2
End2.4
Second
228
#24
15.50.1
15.615.7
Auto5.0
Teleop9.4
End1.1
blue by 5.2
20.70.8
20.920.2
Auto9.1
Teleop8.8
End2.8
Third
7127
#19
15.00.1
15.015.1
Auto7.7
Teleop7.3
End-0.1
red by 5.8
1991
#17
9.20.8
9.48.6
Auto5.0
Teleop3.4
End0.8