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Red52
501323.0
171021.4
198622.8
Blue71
328423.4
642429.3
271814.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7776607080901005271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5013
#10
23.00.4
23.723.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.4
End2.1
blue by 6.4
29.30.1
29.829.7
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
1986
#14
22.80.4
23.523.1
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
blue by 0.6
23.40.1
23.923.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End0.9
Third
1710
#27
21.40.4
22.121.8
Auto11.3
Teleop7.6
End2.6
red by 6.6
2718
#24
14.90.1
15.315.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.3
End1.0