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Red68
392823.7
955114.0
198622.8
Blue45
642429.3
18476.3
199712.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions725201001502006845

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.4
22.522.9
Auto10.7
Teleop11.2
End1.9
blue by 5.6
29.30.3
29.429.1
Auto9.6
Teleop16.6
End3.1
Second
1986
#14
22.80.4
23.023.4
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End2.7
red by 9.8
1997
#16
12.90.3
14.414.1
Auto7.1
Teleop5.1
End0.7
Third
9551
#17
14.00.4
17.017.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.0
End0.8
red by 7.7
1847
#12
6.30.3
5.75.4
Auto2.2
Teleop2.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
43%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed